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Q24(ii):
A die is thrown twice. What is the probability that (ii) 5 will come up at least once? [Hint : Throwing a die twice and throwing two dice simultaneously are treated as the same experiment]

Solution :

Given: A fair six-faced die is thrown twice. The total number of possible outcomes for a single throw is $6$.

To Find: The probability that the number $5$ will come up at least once in the two throws.

Step 1: Determining the Total Number of Possible Outcomes

When a die is thrown twice, the total number of outcomes is calculated by the product of the outcomes of each throw. Since each throw has $6$ possible outcomes ($1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6$):

Total outcomes = $6 \times 6 = 36$.

The sample space $S$ is represented as follows:

(1,1)(1,2)(1,3)(1,4)(1,5)(1,6)
(2,1)(2,2)(2,3)(2,4)(2,5)(2,6)
(3,1)(3,2)(3,3)(3,4)(3,5)(3,6)
(4,1)(4,2)(4,3)(4,4)(4,5)(4,6)
(5,1)(5,2)(5,3)(5,4)(5,5)(5,6)
(6,1)(6,2)(6,3)(6,4)(6,5)(6,6)

Step 2: Identifying Favorable Outcomes

Let $E$ be the event that $5$ comes up at least once. This includes outcomes where $5$ appears on the first die, the second die, or both.

Outcomes where $5$ appears on the first die: $(5,1), (5,2), (5,3), (5,4), (5,5), (5,6)$ [Total: $6$ outcomes].

Outcomes where $5$ appears on the second die: $(1,5), (2,5), (3,5), (4,5), (5,5), (6,5)$ [Total: $6$ outcomes].

Note: The outcome $(5,5)$ is common to both lists. To avoid double-counting, we list the unique favorable outcomes:

Favorable outcomes = $\{(5,1), (5,2), (5,3), (5,4), (5,5), (5,6), (1,5), (2,5), (3,5), (4,5), (6,5)\}$.

Counting these, we find the number of favorable outcomes $n(E) = 11$.

Step 3: Calculating the Probability

The formula for the probability of an event $E$ is given by:

$P(E) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of possible outcomes}}$

[Using the classical definition of probability]

$P(E) = \frac{11}{36}$

Step 4: Verification

Alternatively, we can use the complement rule. Let $E'$ be the event that $5$ never comes up. The outcomes that do not contain a $5$ are those where each die shows $1, 2, 3, 4,$ or $6$ ($5$ possibilities per die).

Number of outcomes without $5 = 5 \times 5 = 25$.

$P(E') = \frac{25}{36}$.

Since $P(E) = 1 - P(E')$, we have $P(E) = 1 - \frac{25}{36} = \frac{36-25}{36} = \frac{11}{36}$.

Final Answer: The probability that 5 will come up at least once is $\frac{11}{36}$.


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